Science Sources: Detection and Attribution

Climate Signals tracks detection and attribution studies in real time. Below is an updating database of studies that find the fingerprint of human-caused climate change on observed trends and events. The database is limited to studies of local significance in the United States and studies of global significance. For a broader database of peer-reviewed studies and organizational reports on climate change trends, please see all Science Sources.

Search or browse our collection of detection and attribution studies below, or learn more about detection and attribution studies.

Title Source Date Author(s)
Hurricane Harvey links to Ocean Heat Content and Climate Change Adaptation Earth's Future Kevin E. Trenberth, Lijing Cheng, Peter Jacobs, Yongxin Zhang, John Fasullo
Effect of Reduced Summer Cloud Shading on Evaporative Demand and Wildfire in Coastal Southern California Geophysical Research Letters A. Park Williams, Pierre Gentine, Max A. Moritz, Dar A. Roberts, John T. Abatzoglou
A global slowdown of tropical-cyclone translation speed Nature James P. Kossin
Early 21st century anthropogenic changes in extremely hot days as simulated by the C20C+ detection and attribution multi-model ensemble Weather and Climate Extremes Michael Wehner, Dáithí Stone, Hideo Shiogama, Piotr Wolskic, Andrew Ciavarella, Nikolaos Christidis, Harinarayan Krishnana
Anthropogenic Warming Impacts on Today's Sierra Nevada Snowpack and Flood Risk Geophysical Research Letters Xingying Huang, Alex D. Hall, Neil Berg
Quantifying statistical uncertainty in the attribution of human influence on severe weather Weather and Climate Extremes Paciorek, Stone, and Wehner
Arctic warming hotspot in the northern Barents Sea linked to declining sea-ice import Nature Climate Change Sigrid Lind, Randi B. Ingvaldsen, Tore Furevik
A stratospheric pathway linking a colder Siberia to Barents-Kara Sea sea ice loss Science Advances Pengfei Zhang, Yutian Wu, Isla R. Simpson, Karen L. Smith, Xiangdong Zhang, Bithi De, Patrick Callaghan
Attribution of Arctic Sea Ice Decline from 1953 to 2012 to Influences from Natural, Greenhouse Gas, and Anthropogenic Aerosol Forcing Journal of Climate B.L. Mueller
Marine heatwaves under global warming Nature Thomas L. Frölicher, Erich M. Fischer, Nicolas Gruber
The human influence on Hurricane Florence Stony Brook University’s School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences Kevin Reed, Alyssa Stansfield, Michael Wehner, and Colin Zarzycki
Climate of the weakly-forced yet high-impact convective storms throughout the Ohio River Valley and Mid-Atlantic United States Climate Dynamics Binod Pokharel, S.-Y. Simon Wang, Jonathan Meyer, Robert Gillies, Yen-Heng Lin
The Roles of Climate Change and Climate Variability in the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season Scientific Reports Young-Kwon Lim, Siegfried D. Schubert, Robin Kovach, Andrea M. Molod, Steven Pawson
Anthropogenic influences on major tropical cyclone events Nature Christina M. Patricola, Michael F. Wehner
Global Emergence of Anthropogenic Climate Change in Fire Weather Indices Geophysical Research Letters John T. Abatzoglou, A. Park Williams, Renaud Barbero
EEE 2017: Attribution of the 2017 Northern High Plains Drought Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Hailan Wang, Siegfried D. Schubert, Randal D. Koster, and Yehui Chang
EEE 2017: Observations of the Rate and Acceleration of Global Mean Sea Level Change Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society R. S. Nerem and J. Fasullo
EEE 2017: December 2016: Linking The Lowest Arctic Sea-ice Extent On Record With The Lowest European Precipitation Event On Record Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Juan C. Acosta Navarro, Pablo Ortega, Javier García-Serrano, Virginie Guemas, Etienne Tourigny, Rubén Cruz-García, François Massonnet, and Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes
EEE 2017: Anthropogenic Contributions to the Intensity of the 2017 United States Northern Great Plains Drought Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Andrew Hoell, Judith Perlwitz, Candida Dewes, Klaus Wolter, Imtiaz Rangwala, Xiao-Wei Quan, and Jon Eischeid
Extreme Rainfall Associated With Hurricane Maria Over Puerto Rico and Its Connections to Climate Variability and Change Geophysical Research Letters David Keellings, José J. Hernández Ayala