William H. Armstrong, Mathias J. Collins & Noah P. Snyder

Hydrological Sciences Journal

Published date August 19, 2014

Hydroclimatic flood trends in the northeastern United States and linkages with large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns

  • Evaluates flood magnitude and frequency trends using gauges in the Mid-Atlantic US and finds significant increases
  • Finds that 53 of 75 study gauges show upward trends in annual flood magnitude, with 12 showing increases at p  <0.05: in other words, 75% of gauges show upward trends and 27% show increases at p <0.05
  • Results suggest hydroclimatic changes in the context of a combination of factors, including cyclical atmospheric variability and climate change