Science Sources: Detection and Attribution

Climate Signals tracks detection and attribution studies in real time. Below is an updating database of studies that find the fingerprint of human-caused climate change on observed trends and events. The database is limited to studies of local significance in the United States and studies of global significance. For a broader database of peer-reviewed studies and organizational reports on climate change trends, please see all Science Sources.

Search or browse our collection of detection and attribution studies below, or learn more about detection and attribution studies.

Title Source Date Author(s)
Models versus radiosondes in the free atmosphere: A new detection and attribution analysis of temperature Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres F. C. Lott, P. A. Stott, D. M. Mitchell, N. Christidis, N. P. Gillett, L. Haimberger, J. Perlwitz, P. W. Thorne
Multi-fingerprint detection and attribution analysis of greenhouse gas, greenhouse gas-plus-aerosol and solar forced climate change Climate Dynamics G. C. Hegerl, K. Hasselmann, U. Cubasch, J. F. B. Mitchell, E. Roeckner, R. Voss, J. Waszkewitz
Multi-method attribution analysis of extreme precipitation in Boulder, Colorado Environmental Research Letters Jonathan M Eden, Klaus Wolter, Friederike E L Otto, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh
Multi-model attribution of upper-ocean temperature changes using an isothermal approach Scientific Reports Evan Weller, Seung-Ki Min, Matthew D. Palmer, Donghyun Lee, Bo Young Yim, Sang-Wook Yeh
Multimodel Detection and Attribution of Extreme Temperature Changes AMS Journal of Climate Seung-Ki Min, Xuebin Zhang, Francis Zwiers, Hideo Shiogama, Yu-Shiang Tung, and Michael Wehner
Multimodel Multisignal Climate Change Detection at Regional Scale AMS Journal of Climate Xuebin Zhang
Normalized US hurricane damage estimates using area of total destruction, 1900−2018 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Aslak Grinsted, Peter Ditlevsen, Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen
Observations reveal external driver for Arctic sea‐ice retreat Geophysical Research Letters Dirk Notz, Jochem Marotzke
Observed Arctic sea-ice loss directly follows anthropogenic CO2 emission Science Dirk Notz, Julienne Stroeve
Observed impacts of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire in California Earth's Future A. Park Williams, John T. Abatzoglou, Alexander Gershunov, Janin Guzman‐Morales, Daniel A. Bishop, Jennifer K. Balch, Dennis P. Lettenmaier
One hundred years of Arctic surface temperature variation due to anthropogenic influence Scientific Reports John C. Fyfe, Knut von Salzen, Nathan P. Gillett, Vivek K. Arora, Gregory M. Flato, Joseph R. McConnell
Perspectives on the causes of exceptionally low 2015 snowpack in the western United States Geophysical Research Letters Mote, Philip W., Rupp, David E., Li, Sihan, Sharp, Darrin J., Otto, Friederike, Uhe, Peter F., Xiao, Mu, Lettenmaier, Dennis P., Cullen, Heidi, Allen, Myles R.
Physical Understanding of Human-Induced Changes in U.S. Hot Droughts Using Equilibrium Climate Simulations Journal of Climate Linyin Cheng
Probabilistic estimates of recent changes in temperature: a multi-scale attribution analysis Climate Dynamics Nikolaos Christidis, Peter A. Stott, Francis W. Zwiers, Hideo Shiogama, Toru Nozawa
Projected Atlantic hurricane surge threat from rising temperatures Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Aslak Grinsted, John C. Moore, Svetlana Jevrejeva
Quantifying anthropogenic and natural contributions to thermosteric sea level rise Geophysical Research Letters Marta Marcos, Angel Amores
Quantifying anthropogenic influence on recent near-surface temperature change Surveys in Geophysics M. R. Allen, N. P. Gillett, J. A. Kettleborough, G. Hegerl, R. Schnur, P. A. Stott, G. Boer, C. Covey, T. L. Delworth, G. S. Jones, J. F. B. Mitchell, T. P. Barnett
Quantifying contributions of natural variability and anthropogenic forcings on increased fire weather risk over the western United States Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Yizhou Zhuang, Rong Fu, Benjamin D. Santer, Robert E. Dickinson, and Alex Hall
Quantifying statistical uncertainty in the attribution of human influence on severe weather Weather and Climate Extremes Paciorek, Stone, and Wehner
Quantifying the influence of global warming on unprecedented extreme climate events Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Noah S. Diffenbaugh, Deepti Singh, Justin S. Mankin, Daniel E. Horton, Daniel L. Swain, Danielle Touma, Allison Charland, Yunjie Liu, Matz Haugen, Michael Tsiang, Bala Rajaratnam