Science Sources: Detection and Attribution

Climate Signals tracks detection and attribution studies in real time. Below is an updating database of studies that find the fingerprint of human-caused climate change on observed trends and events. The database is limited to studies of local significance in the United States and studies of global significance. For a broader database of peer-reviewed studies and organizational reports on climate change trends, please see all Science Sources.

Search or browse our collection of detection and attribution studies below, or learn more about detection and attribution studies.

Title Source Date Author(s)
Seasonal Climate Variability and Change in the Pacific Northwest of the United States American Meteorological Society John T. Abatzoglou, David E. Rupp and Philip W. Mote
Observed Arctic sea-ice loss directly follows anthropogenic CO2 emission Science Dirk Notz, Julienne Stroeve
Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences John T. Abatzoglou and A. Park Williams
Hurricane Sandy’s flood frequency increasing from year 1800 to 2100 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Ning Lin, Robert E. Kopp, Benjamin P. Horton, Jeffrey P. Donnelly
Projected Atlantic hurricane surge threat from rising temperatures Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Aslak Grinsted, John C. Moore, Svetlana Jevrejeva
Recent amplification of the North American winter temperature dipole Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Singh, Deepti, Swain, Daniel L., Mankin, Justin S., Horton, Daniel E., Thomas, Leif N., Rajaratnam, Bala, Diffenbaugh, Noah S.
Recent intense hurricane response to global climate change Climate Dynamics Greg Holland, Cindy L. Bruyère
Human-caused Indo-Pacific warm pool expansion Science Advances Evan Weller, Seung-Ki Min, Wenju Cai, Francis W. Zwiers, Yeon-Hee Kim, Donghyun Lee
EEE 2014: Extreme Fire Season in California: A Glimpse Into the Future? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Jin-Ho Yoon, S.-Y. Simon Wang, Robert R. Gillies, Lawr ence Hipps, Ben Kravitz, Philip J. Rasch
Incorporating Anthropogenic Influences into Fire Probability Models: Effects of Human Activity and Climate Change on Fire Activity in California Plos One Michael L. Mann, Enric Batllori, Max A. Moritz, Eric K. Waller, Peter Berck, Alan L. Flint, Lorraine E. Flint, Emmalee Dolfi
Human-induced greening of the northern extratropical land surface Nature Climate Change Jiafu Mao, Aurélien Ribes, Binyan Yan, Xiaoying Shi, Peter E. Thornton, Roland Séférian, Philippe Ciais, Ranga B. Myneni, Hervé Douville, Shilong Piao, Zaichun Zhu, Robert E. Dickinson, Yongjiu Dai, Daniel M. Ricciuto, Mingzhou Jin et al
Detection of anthropogenic influence on a summertime heat stress index Climatic Change Thomas R. Knutson, Jeffrey J. Ploshay
Increased record-breaking precipitation events under global warming Climatic Change Jascha Lehmann, Dim Coumou, Katja Frieler
Attribution of observed surface humidity changes to human influence Nature Katharine M. Willett, Nathan P. Gillett, Philip D. Jones, Peter W. Thorne
Forced and unforced ocean temperature changes in Atlantic and Pacific tropical cyclogenesis regions Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences B. D. Santer, T. M. L. Wigley, P. J. Gleckler, C. Bonfils, M. F. Wehner, K. AchutaRao, T. P. Barnett, J. S. Boyle, W. Brüggemann, M. Fiorino, N. Gillett, J. E. Hansen, P. D. Jones, S. A. Klein, G. A. Meehl, S. C. B. Raper, R. W. Reynolds et al
Increasing risk of great floods in a changing climate Nature P. C. D. Milly, R. T. Wetherald, K. A. Dunne & T. L. Delworth
Identification of human-induced changes in atmospheric moisture content Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences B. D. Santer, C. Mears, F. J. Wentz, K. E. Taylor , P. J. Gleckler, T. M. L. Wigley, T. P. Barnett, J. S. Boyle, W. Brüggemann, N. P. Gillett, S. A. Klein, G. A. Meehl, T. Nozawa, D. W. Pierce, P. A. Stott, W. M. Washington, and M. F. Wehner
Contribution of anthropogenic warming to California drought during 2012–2014 Geophysical Research Letters Williams, A. Park, Seager, Richard, Abatzoglou, John T., Cook, Benjamin I., Smerdon, Jason E., Cook, Edward R.
Contribution of relative sea-level rise to historical hurricane flooding in New York City Journal of Quaternary Science Kemp, Andrew C., Horton, Benjamin P.
Simulations of Hurricane Katrina (2005) under sea level and climate conditions for 1900 Climatic Change Jennifer L. Irish, Alison Sleath, Mary A. Cialone, Thomas R. Knutson, Robert E. Jensen