Science Sources: Detection and Attribution

Climate Signals tracks detection and attribution studies in real time. Below is an updating database of studies that find the fingerprint of human-caused climate change on observed trends and events. The database is limited to studies of local significance in the United States and studies of global significance. For a broader database of peer-reviewed studies and organizational reports on climate change trends, please see all Science Sources.

Search or browse our collection of detection and attribution studies below, or learn more about detection and attribution studies.

Title Source Date Author(s)
EEE 2018: The Record Low Bering Sea Ice Extent in 2018 – Context, Impacts, and an Assessment of the Role of Anthropogenic Climate Change Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Thoman R. T., Bhatt, U. S., Bieniek, P. A., Brettschneider, B. R., Brubaker, M., et al . . . Walsh, J. E.
EEE 2016: Anthropogenic Forcings and Associated Changes in Fire Risk in Western North America and Australia During 2015/16 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Simon F. B. Tett, Alexander Falk, Megan Rogers, Fiona Spuler, Calum Turner, Joshua Wainwright, Oscar Dimdore-Miles, Sam Knight, Nicolas Freychet, Michael J. Mineter, and Caroline E. R. Lehmann
EEE 2018: Extreme Hail Storms and Climate Change: Foretelling the Future In Tiny, Turbulent Crystal Balls? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Kelly Mahoney
EEE 2015: Multimodel Assessment of Anthropogenic Influence on Record Global and Regional Warmth During 2015 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Jonghun Kam, Thomas R. Knutson, Fanrong Zeng, and Andrew T. Wittenberg
EEE 2018: Quantifying Human-Induced Temperature Impacts on the 2018 United States Four Corners Hydrologic and Agro-Pastoral Drought Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Williams, E., Funk, C., Shukla, S., and McEvoy, D.
EEE 2015: An Assessment of the Role of Anthropogenic Climate Change in the Alaska Fire Season of 2015 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society James L. Partain Jr., Sharon Alden, Uma S. Bhatt, Peter A. Bieniek, Brian R. Brettschneider, Rick T. Lader, Peter Q. Olsson, T. Scott Rupp, Heidi Strader, Richard L. Thoman Jr., John E. Walsh, Alison D. York, and Robert H. Ziel
EEE 2018: Anthropogenic Impacts on the Exceptional Precipitation of 2018 in the Mid-Atlantic United States Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Winter, J. H., Huang, H., Osterberg, E. C., and Mankin, J. S.
EEE 2015: The 2014/15 Snowpack Drought in Washington State and its Climate Forcing Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Boniface O. Fosu, S.-Y. Simon Wang, and Jin-Ho Yoon
EEE 2015: The Role of Arctic Sea Ice and Sea Surface Temperatures on the Cold 2015 February Over North America Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Omar Bellprat, François Massonnet, Javier García-Serrano, Neven S. Fučkar, Virginie Guemas, and Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes
EEE 2015: Record Low Northern Hemisphere Sea Ice Extent in March 2015 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Neven S. Fučkar, François Massonnet, Virginie Guemas, Javier García-Serrano, Omar Bellprat, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, and Mario Acosta
EEE 2014: Human Contribution to the 2014 Record High Sea Surface Temperatures Over the Western Tropical And Northeast Pacific Ocean Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Evan Weller, Seung-Ki Min, Donghyun Lee, Wenju Cai, Sang-Wook Yeh, and Jong-Seong Kug
EEE 2014: Investigating the Influence of Anthropogenic Forcing and Natural Variability on the 2014 Hawaiian Hurricane Season Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Hiroyuki Murakami, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Thomas L. Delworth, Karen Paffendorf, Richard Gudgel, Liwei Jia, and Fanrong Zeng
EEE 2017: Observations of the Rate and Acceleration of Global Mean Sea Level Change Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society R. S. Nerem and J. Fasullo
EEE 2013: Causes of the Extreme Dry Conditions Over California During Early 2013 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Hailan Wang and Siegfried Schubert
EEE 2017: Anthropogenic Contributions to the Intensity of the 2017 United States Northern Great Plains Drought Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Andrew Hoell, Judith Perlwitz, Candida Dewes, Klaus Wolter, Imtiaz Rangwala, Xiao-Wei Quan, and Jon Eischeid
EEE 2013: Seasonal- and annual-mean precipitation extremes occurring during 2013: A U.S. focused analysis Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Thomas R. Knutson, Fanrong Zeng, and Andrew T. Wittenberg
EEE 2017: Attribution of the 2017 Northern High Plains Drought Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Hailan Wang, Siegfried D. Schubert, Randal D. Koster, and Yehui Chang
EEE 2012: Likelihood Of July 2012 U.S. Temperatures In Preindustrial And Current Forcing Regimes Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Noah S. Diffenbaugh and Martin Scherer
EEE 2017: December 2016: Linking The Lowest Arctic Sea-ice Extent On Record With The Lowest European Precipitation Event On Record Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Juan C. Acosta Navarro, Pablo Ortega, Javier García-Serrano, Virginie Guemas, Etienne Tourigny, Rubén Cruz-García, François Massonnet, and Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes
EEE 2012: The Extreme March-May 2012 Warm Anomaly Over the Eastern United States: Global Context and Multimodel Trend Analysis Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Thomas R. Knutson, Fanrong Zeng, and Andrew T. Wittenberg