Science Sources: Detection and Attribution

Climate Signals tracks detection and attribution studies in real time. Below is an updating database of studies that find the fingerprint of human-caused climate change on observed trends and events. The database is limited to studies of local significance in the United States and studies of global significance. For a broader database of peer-reviewed studies and organizational reports on climate change trends, please see all Science Sources.

Search or browse our collection of detection and attribution studies below, or learn more about detection and attribution studies.

Title Source Date Author(s)
Detection of human influence on sea-level pressure Nature Nathan P. Gillett, Francis W. Zwiers, Andrew J. Weaver, Peter A. Stott
Attribution of observed sea level pressure trends to greenhouse gas, aerosol, and ozone changes Geophysical Research Letters Nathan P. Gillett, John C. Fyfe, David E. Parker
Deducing Multidecadal Anthropogenic Global Warming Trends Using Multiple Regression Analysis AMS Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences Jiansong Zhou and Ka-Kit Tung
Rapid attribution of the August 2016 flood-inducing extreme precipitation in south Louisiana to climate change World Weather Attribution, Hydrology and Earth Systems Science Karin van der Wiel, Sarah B. Kapnick, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Kirien Whan, Sjoukje Philip, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Roop K. Singh, Julie Arrighi, and Heidi Cullen
Unusually high temperatures at the North Pole, winter 2016 World Weather Attribution
Trends in Weather Extremes World Weather Attribution Geert Jan van Oldenborgh
Anthropogenic and natural warming inferred from changes in Earth’s energy balance Nature Geoscience Markus Huber and Reto Knutti
Attribution of anthropogenic influence on seasonal sea level pressure Geophysical Research Letters N. P. Gillett, P. A. Stott
A probabilistic quantification of the anthropogenic component of twentieth century global warming Climate Dynamics T. M. L. Wigley, B. D. Santer
Causes of Robust Seasonal Land Precipitation Changes AMS Journal of Climate Debbie Polson and Gabriele C. Hegerl
Fingerprints of changes in annual and seasonal precipitation from CMIP5 models over land and ocean Geophysical Research Letters Beena Balan Sarojini, Peter A. Stott, Emily Black, Debbie Polson
Atlantic hurricane trends linked to climate change Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union Michael E. Mann and Kerry A. Emanuel
Forced and Internal Twentieth-Century SST Trends in the North Atlantic AMS Journal of Climate Mingfang Ting, Yochanan Kushnir, Richard Seager, and Cuihua Li
Has the magnitude of floods across the USA changed with global CO2 levels? Hydrological Sciences Journal R. M. Hirsch and K.R. Ryberg
Compounding effects of warm sea surface temperature and reduced sea ice on the extreme circulation over the extratropical North Pacific and North America during the 2013–2014 boreal winter Geophysical Research Letters Ming‐Ying Lee, Chi‐Cherng Hong, Huang‐Hsiung Hsu
Attribution of global glacier mass loss to anthropogenic and natural causes Science Ben Marzeion, J. Graham Cogley, Kristin Richter, David Parkes
Contributions of Anthropogenic and Natural Forcing to Recent Tropopause Height Changes Science B. D. Santer, M. F. Wehner, T. M. L. Wigley, R. Sausen, G. A. Meehl, K. E. Taylor, C. Ammann, J. Arblaster, W. M. Washington, J. S. Boyle, W. Brüggemann
Incorporating model quality information in climate change detection and attribution studies Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences B. D. Santer, K. E. Taylor, P. J. Gleckler, C. Bonfils, T. P. Barnett, D. W. Pierce, T. M. L. Wigley, C. Mears, F. J. Wentz, W. Brüggemann, N. P. Gillett, S. A. Klein, S. Solomon, P. A. Stott, M. F. Wehner
Human and natural influences on the changing thermal structure of the atmosphere Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Benjamin D. Santer, Jeffrey F. Painter, Céline Bonfils, Carl A. Mears, Susan Solomon, Tom M. L. Wigley, Peter J. Gleckler, Gavin A. Schmidt, Charles Doutriaux, Nathan P. Gillett, Karl E. Taylor, Peter W. Thorne, Frank J. Wentz
Identifying human influences on atmospheric temperature Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Benjamin D. Santer, Jeffrey F. Painter, Carl A. Mears, Charles Doutriaux, Peter Caldwell, Julie M. Arblaster, Philip J. Cameron-Smith, Nathan P. Gillett, Peter J. Gleckler, John Lanzante, Judith Perlwitz, Susan Solomon, Peter A. Stott, Karl E. Taylor et a