Jan 28, 2016

Blizzard overview and why NYC got much more snow than forecast

New York, NY
USA
by
Steve Gregory
,
Weather Underground
The general area where snowfall was significantly greater than originally forecast called for is outlined in the dashed line / rectangular box – and corresponds to the storm systems deformation zone.
The general area where snowfall was significantly greater than originally forecast called for is outlined in the dashed line / rectangular box – and corresponds to the storm systems deformation zone.

Forecasts for the Super Blizzard of 2016 was one of the best examples of increasing model skill in recent years – with both the GFS and ECMWF calling for a major snow storm in the Mid-Atlantic region over a week ahead of time – and with little deviation in the forecast right up thru the event itself. But while the actual northern edge of the snow verified amazingly close to model forecasts, total snowfall in the northernmost sector of the storm turned out to be much greater than originally anticipated.