Post, David A., Timbal, Bertrand, Chiew, Francis H. S., Hendon, Harry H., Nguyen, Hahn, Moran, Rae

Earth's Future AGU Publication

Published date April 1, 2014

Decrease in southeastern Australian water availability linked to ongoing Hadley cell expansion

  • States that southeastern Australia experienced the worst drought of the instrumental record from 1997 to 2009, which was broken by Australia's wettest 2 year period on record (2010/2011)
  • States the drought was primarily a cool season (April to October) phenomenon, while the breaking of the drought was a warm season (November to March) phenomenon
  • Finds this reduction in winter rainfall along with an absence of very wet months led to a greater reduction in streamflow across the region than would be anticipated based on the 12% reduction in mean annual rainfall alone
  • Results link the extent, duration, and severity of this drought to the ongoing observed expansion of the Southern Hemisphere Hadley cell at a rate of 0.5°/decade
  • Finds this expansion has intensified the subtropical ridge over southern Australia, pushing cool season midlatitude storm tracks further south, leading to a reduction in winter rainfall and runoff across the region