Sönke Dangendorf, Marta Marcos, Alfred Müller, Eduardo Zorita, Riccardo Riva, Kevin Berk, Jürgen Jensen

Nature Communications

Published date July 29, 2015

Detecting anthropogenic footprints in sea level rise

  • Provides a probabilistic upper range of long-term persistent natural GMSL/LMSL variability (P=0.99), which in turn, determines the minimum/maximum anthropogenic contribution to sea level rise since 1900
  • Concludes that it is virtually certain (P=0.99) that at least 45% of the observed increase in GMSL is of anthropogenic origin