Science Sources: Detection and Attribution

Climate Signals tracks detection and attribution studies in real time. Below is an updating database of studies that find the fingerprint of human-caused climate change on observed trends and events. The database is limited to studies of local significance in the United States and studies of global significance. For a broader database of peer-reviewed studies and organizational reports on climate change trends, please see all Science Sources.

Search or browse our collection of detection and attribution studies below, or learn more about detection and attribution studies.

Title Source Date Author(s)
Recent amplification of the North American winter temperature dipole Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Singh, Deepti, Swain, Daniel L., Mankin, Justin S., Horton, Daniel E., Thomas, Leif N., Rajaratnam, Bala, Diffenbaugh, Noah S.
Estimation of natural and anthropogenic contributions to twentieth century temperature change Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Simon F. B. Tett, Gareth S. Jones, Peter A. Stott, David C. Hill, John F. B. Mitchell, Myles R. Allen, William J. Ingram, Tim C. Johns, Colin E. Johnson, Andy Jones, David L. Roberts, David M. H. Sexton, Margaret J. Woodage
Structure and Detectability of Trends in Hydrological Measures over the Western United States Journal of Hydrometeorology T. Das, H. G. Hidalgo, M. D. Dettinger, D. R. Cayan, D. W. Pierce, C. Bonfils, T. P. Barnett, G. Bala and A. Mirin
A Multidataset Assessment of Climatic Drivers and Uncertainties of Recent Trends in Evaporative Demand across the Continental United States Journal of Hydrometeorology Christine M. Albano, John T. Abatzoglou, Daniel J. McEvoy, Justin L. Huntington, Charles G. Morton, Michael D. Dettinger, and Thomas J. Ott
Contribution of relative sea-level rise to historical hurricane flooding in New York City Journal of Quaternary Science Kemp, Andrew C., Horton, Benjamin P.
Extreme Atlantic hurricane seasons made twice as likely by ocean warming Journal of Weather and Climate Dynamics Peter Pfleiderer , Shruti Nath, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Catastrophe Modelling and Climate Change Lloyds Ralf Toumi and Lauren Restell
Attribution of the June-July 2013 Heat Wave in the Southwestern United States Meteorological Society of Japan Hideo Shiogama, Masahiro Watanabe, Yukiko Imada, Masato Mori, Youichi Kamae, Masayoshi Ishii, Masahide Kimoto
Marine heatwaves under global warming Nature Thomas L. Frölicher, Erich M. Fischer, Nicolas Gruber
Significant anthropogenic-induced changes of climate classes since 1950 Nature Duo Chan, Qigang Wu
Anthropogenic influences on major tropical cyclone events Nature Christina M. Patricola, Michael F. Wehner
Detection of human influence on sea-level pressure Nature Nathan P. Gillett, Francis W. Zwiers, Andrew J. Weaver, Peter A. Stott
Increasing risk of great floods in a changing climate Nature P. C. D. Milly, R. T. Wetherald, K. A. Dunne & T. L. Delworth
Causes of twentieth-century temperature change near the Earth's surface Nature Simon F. B. Tett, Peter A. Stott, Myles R. Allen, William J. Ingram, John F. B. Mitchell
Attribution of observed surface humidity changes to human influence Nature Katharine M. Willett, Nathan P. Gillett, Philip D. Jones, Peter W. Thorne
A search for human influences on the thermal structure of the atmosphere Nature B. D. Santer, K. E. Taylor, T. M. L. Wigley, T. C. Johns, P. D. Jones, D. J. Karoly, J. F. B. Mitchell, A. H. Oort, J. E. Penner, V. Ramaswamy, M. D. Schwarzkopf, R. J. Stouffer, S. Tett
A global slowdown of tropical-cyclone translation speed Nature James P. Kossin
Human contribution to more-intense precipitation extremes Nature Seung-Ki Min, Xuebin Zhang, Francis W. Zwiers, Gabriele C. Hegerl
Detection of human influence on twentieth-century precipitation trends Nature Xuebin Zhang, Francis W. Zwiers, Gabriele C. Hegerl, F. Hugo Lambert, Nathan P. Gillett, Susan Solomon, Peter A. Stott, Toru Nozawa
Twentieth-century hydroclimate changes consistent with human influence Nature Kate Marvel, Benjamin I. Cook, Céline J. W. Bonfils, Paul J. Durack, Jason E. Smerdon, A. Park Williams