El Niño + Climate Change = Godzilla?
Predicting how El Niños evolve in a warming planet is extremely challenging. The factors involved are far from being well understood. However, the most recent model projections tell us that we should expect extreme El Niños (and La Niñas) to happen more frequently. Records tend to be broken when natural variation runs in the same direction as climate change. And with this El Niño shooting along on a record-breaking path, we now may be seeing the effect of climate change happening in real time.