Science Sources: Detection and Attribution

Climate Signals tracks detection and attribution studies in real time. Below is an updating database of studies that find the fingerprint of human-caused climate change on observed trends and events. The database is limited to studies of local significance in the United States and studies of global significance. For a broader database of peer-reviewed studies and organizational reports on climate change trends, please see all Science Sources.

Search or browse our collection of detection and attribution studies below, or learn more about detection and attribution studies.

Title Source Datesort ascending Author(s)
Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Assessment: Part I Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society May 28, 2019 Thomas Knutson, Suzana J. Camargo, Johnny C. L. Chan, Kerry Emanuel, Chang-Hoi Ho, James Kossin, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, Masaki Satoh, Masato Sugi, Kevin Walsh, and Liguang Wu
Global and Regional Increase of Precipitation Extremes under Global Warming Water Resources Research May 9, 2019 Simon Michael Papalexiou, Alberto Montanari
Twentieth-century hydroclimate changes consistent with human influence Nature May 1, 2019 Kate Marvel, Benjamin I. Cook, Céline J. W. Bonfils, Paul J. Durack, Jason E. Smerdon, A. Park Williams
Extreme weather events in early summer 2018 connected by a recurrent hemispheric wave-7 pattern Environmental Research Letters Apr 26, 2019 Kai Kornhuber, Scott Osprey, Dim Coumou, Stefan Petri, Vladimir Petoukhov, Stefan Rahmstorf, Lesley Gray
Extreme Rainfall Associated With Hurricane Maria Over Puerto Rico and Its Connections to Climate Variability and Change Geophysical Research Letters Mar 4, 2019 David Keellings, José J. Hernández Ayala
Human Influence on Winter Precipitation Trends (1921–2015) over North America and Eurasia Revealed by Dynamical Adjustment Geophysical Research Letters Mar 4, 2019 Ruixia Guo, Clara Deser, Laurent Terray, Flavio Lehner
EEE 2017: Observations of the Rate and Acceleration of Global Mean Sea Level Change Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Dec 10, 2018 R. S. Nerem and J. Fasullo
EEE 2017: Anthropogenic Contributions to the Intensity of the 2017 United States Northern Great Plains Drought Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Dec 10, 2018 Andrew Hoell, Judith Perlwitz, Candida Dewes, Klaus Wolter, Imtiaz Rangwala, Xiao-Wei Quan, and Jon Eischeid
EEE 2017: Attribution of the 2017 Northern High Plains Drought Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Dec 10, 2018 Hailan Wang, Siegfried D. Schubert, Randal D. Koster, and Yehui Chang
EEE 2017: December 2016: Linking The Lowest Arctic Sea-ice Extent On Record With The Lowest European Precipitation Event On Record Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Dec 10, 2018 Juan C. Acosta Navarro, Pablo Ortega, Javier García-Serrano, Virginie Guemas, Etienne Tourigny, Rubén Cruz-García, François Massonnet, and Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes
Global Emergence of Anthropogenic Climate Change in Fire Weather Indices Geophysical Research Letters Nov 30, 2018 John T. Abatzoglou, A. Park Williams, Renaud Barbero
Anthropogenic influences on major tropical cyclone events Nature Nov 14, 2018 Christina M. Patricola, Michael F. Wehner
The Roles of Climate Change and Climate Variability in the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season Scientific Reports Nov 1, 2018 Young-Kwon Lim, Siegfried D. Schubert, Robin Kovach, Andrea M. Molod, Steven Pawson
The human influence on Hurricane Florence Stony Brook University’s School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences Sep 12, 2018 Kevin Reed, Alyssa Stansfield, Michael Wehner, and Colin Zarzycki
Marine heatwaves under global warming Nature Aug 15, 2018 Thomas L. Frölicher, Erich M. Fischer, Nicolas Gruber
A stratospheric pathway linking a colder Siberia to Barents-Kara Sea sea ice loss Science Advances Jul 25, 2018 Pengfei Zhang, Yutian Wu, Isla R. Simpson, Karen L. Smith, Xiangdong Zhang, Bithi De, Patrick Callaghan
Arctic warming hotspot in the northern Barents Sea linked to declining sea-ice import Nature Climate Change Jun 25, 2018 Sigrid Lind, Randi B. Ingvaldsen, Tore Furevik
Anthropogenic Warming Impacts on Today's Sierra Nevada Snowpack and Flood Risk Geophysical Research Letters Jun 15, 2018 Xingying Huang, Alex D. Hall, Neil Berg
Quantifying statistical uncertainty in the attribution of human influence on severe weather Weather and Climate Extremes Jun 15, 2018 Paciorek, Stone, and Wehner
Early 21st century anthropogenic changes in extremely hot days as simulated by the C20C+ detection and attribution multi-model ensemble Weather and Climate Extremes Jun 8, 2018 Michael Wehner, Dáithí Stone, Hideo Shiogama, Piotr Wolskic, Andrew Ciavarella, Nikolaos Christidis, Harinarayan Krishnana