Science Sources: Detection and Attribution

Climate Signals tracks detection and attribution studies in real time. Below is an updating database of studies that find the fingerprint of human-caused climate change on observed trends and events. The database is limited to studies of local significance in the United States and studies of global significance. For a broader database of peer-reviewed studies and organizational reports on climate change trends, please see all Science Sources.

Search or browse our collection of detection and attribution studies below, or learn more about detection and attribution studies.

Title Source Datesort ascending Author(s)
EEE 2018: The Record Low Bering Sea Ice Extent in 2018 – Context, Impacts, and an Assessment of the Role of Anthropogenic Climate Change Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Dec 9, 2019 Thoman R. T., Bhatt, U. S., Bieniek, P. A., Brettschneider, B. R., Brubaker, M., et al . . . Walsh, J. E.
EEE 2018: Extreme Hail Storms and Climate Change: Foretelling the Future In Tiny, Turbulent Crystal Balls? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Dec 9, 2019 Kelly Mahoney
EEE 2018: Quantifying Human-Induced Temperature Impacts on the 2018 United States Four Corners Hydrologic and Agro-Pastoral Drought Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Dec 9, 2019 Williams, E., Funk, C., Shukla, S., and McEvoy, D.
EEE 2018: Anthropogenic Impacts on the Exceptional Precipitation of 2018 in the Mid-Atlantic United States Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Dec 9, 2019 Winter, J. H., Huang, H., Osterberg, E. C., and Mankin, J. S.
Evaluating the performance of past climate model projections Geophysical Research Letters Dec 4, 2019 Zeke Hausfather, Henri F. Drake, Tristan Abbott, Gavin A. Schmidt
Normalized US hurricane damage estimates using area of total destruction, 1900−2018 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Nov 11, 2019 Aslak Grinsted, Peter Ditlevsen, Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen
Enhanced El Niño‐Southern Oscillation variability in recent decades Geophysical Research Letters Oct 25, 2019 Pamela R. Grothe, Kim M. Cobb, Giovanni Liguori, Emanuele Di Lorenzo, Antonietta Capotondi, Yanbin Lu et al . . . Lauren T. Toth
Rapid attribution of the extreme rainfall in Texas from Tropical Storm Imelda World Weather Attribution Sep 27, 2019 Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Karin van der Wiel, Sjoukje Philip & Sarah Kew
Severe Continental-Scale Impacts of Climate Change Are Happening Now: Extreme Climate Events Impact Marine Habitat Forming Communities Along 45% of Australia’s Coast Frontiers in Marine Science Jul 24, 2019 Babcock, Russell C., Bustamante, Rodrigo H., Fulton, Elizabeth A., Fulton, Derek J., Haywood, Michael D. E., Hobday, Alistair James, Kenyon, Robert, Matear, Richard James, Plagányi, Eva E., Richardson, Anthony J., Vanderklift, Mathew A.
Recent increase in catastrophic tropical cyclone flooding in coastal North Carolina, USA: Long-term observations suggest a regime shift Scientific Reports Jul 23, 2019 Hans W. Paerl, Nathan S. Hall, Alexandria G. Hounshell, Richard A. Luettich, Karen L. Rossignol, Christopher L. Osburn, Jerad Bales
Observed impacts of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire in California Earth's Future Jul 15, 2019 A. Park Williams, John T. Abatzoglou, Alexander Gershunov, Janin Guzman‐Morales, Daniel A. Bishop, Jennifer K. Balch, Dennis P. Lettenmaier
Physical Understanding of Human-Induced Changes in U.S. Hot Droughts Using Equilibrium Climate Simulations Journal of Climate Jun 24, 2019 Linyin Cheng
Concurrent 2018 Hot Extremes Across Northern Hemisphere Due to Human‐Induced Climate Change Earth's Future Jun 7, 2019 M. M. Vogel, J. Zscheischler, R. Wartenburger, D. Dee, S. I. Seneviratne
Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Assessment: Part I Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society May 28, 2019 Thomas Knutson, Suzana J. Camargo, Johnny C. L. Chan, Kerry Emanuel, Chang-Hoi Ho, James Kossin, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, Masaki Satoh, Masato Sugi, Kevin Walsh, and Liguang Wu
Global and Regional Increase of Precipitation Extremes under Global Warming Water Resources Research May 9, 2019 Simon Michael Papalexiou and Alberto Montanari
Twentieth-century hydroclimate changes consistent with human influence Nature May 1, 2019 Kate Marvel, Benjamin I. Cook, Céline J. W. Bonfils, Paul J. Durack, Jason E. Smerdon, A. Park Williams
Extreme Rainfall Associated With Hurricane Maria Over Puerto Rico and Its Connections to Climate Variability and Change Geophysical Research Letters Mar 4, 2019 David Keellings, José J. Hernández Ayala
Human Influence on Winter Precipitation Trends (1921–2015) over North America and Eurasia Revealed by Dynamical Adjustment Geophysical Research Letters Mar 4, 2019 Ruixia Guo, Clara Deser, Laurent Terray, Flavio Lehner
EEE 2017: Observations of the Rate and Acceleration of Global Mean Sea Level Change Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Dec 10, 2018 R. S. Nerem and J. Fasullo
EEE 2017: Anthropogenic Contributions to the Intensity of the 2017 United States Northern Great Plains Drought Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Dec 10, 2018 Andrew Hoell, Judith Perlwitz, Candida Dewes, Klaus Wolter, Imtiaz Rangwala, Xiao-Wei Quan, and Jon Eischeid

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