Science Sources: Detection and Attribution

Climate Signals tracks detection and attribution studies in real time. Below is an updating database of studies that find the fingerprint of human-caused climate change on observed trends and events. The database is limited to studies of local significance in the United States and studies of global significance. For a broader database of peer-reviewed studies and organizational reports on climate change trends, please see all Science Sources.

Search or browse our collection of detection and attribution studies below, or learn more about detection and attribution studies.

Title Source Datesort ascending Author(s)
Anthropogenic climate change is worsening North American pollen seasons Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Feb 16, 2021 William R. L. Anderegg, John T. Abatzoglou, Leander D. L. Anderegg, Leonard Bielory, Patrick L. Kinney, and Lewis Ziska
Global increase in major tropical cyclone exceedance probability over the past four decades Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences May 18, 2020 James P. Kossin, Kenneth R. Knapp, Timothy L. Olander, Christopher S. Velden
Detected climatic change in global distribution of tropical cyclones Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences May 4, 2020 Hiroyuki Murakami, Thomas L. Delworth, William F. Cooke, Ming Zhao, Baoqiang Xiang, Pang-Chi Hsu
The economic costs of Hurricane Harvey attributable to climate change Climatic Change Apr 8, 2020 David J. Frame, Michael F. Wehner, Ilan Noy, Suzanne M. Rosier
Colorado River flow dwindles as warming-driven loss of reflective snow energizes evaporation Science Feb 20, 2020 P. C. D. Milly, K. A. Dunne
Record-Setting Ocean Warmth Continued in 2019 Advances in Atmospheric Sciences Jan 9, 2020 Lijing Chengm, John Abraham, Jiang Zhu, Kevin E. Trenberth, John Fasullo,Tim Boyer, Ricardo Locarnini, Bin Zhang, Fujiang Yu, Liying Wan, Xingrong Chen, Xiangzhou Song, Yulong Liu, and Michael E. Mann
Climate change now detectable from any single day of weather at global scale Nature Climate Change Jan 2, 2020 Sebastian Sippel, Nicolai Meinshausen, Erich M. Fischer, Enikő Székely, Reto Knutti
Forecasted attribution of the human influence on Hurricane Florence Science Advances Jan 1, 2020 K. A. Reed, A. M. Stansfield, M. F. Wehner, C. M. Zarzycki
EEE 2018: The Record Low Bering Sea Ice Extent in 2018 – Context, Impacts, and an Assessment of the Role of Anthropogenic Climate Change Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Dec 9, 2019 Thoman R. T., Bhatt, U. S., Bieniek, P. A., Brettschneider, B. R., Brubaker, M., et al . . . Walsh, J. E.
EEE 2018: Extreme Hail Storms and Climate Change: Foretelling the Future In Tiny, Turbulent Crystal Balls? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Dec 9, 2019 Kelly Mahoney
EEE 2018: Quantifying Human-Induced Temperature Impacts on the 2018 United States Four Corners Hydrologic and Agro-Pastoral Drought Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Dec 9, 2019 Williams, E., Funk, C., Shukla, S., and McEvoy, D.
EEE 2018: Anthropogenic Impacts on the Exceptional Precipitation of 2018 in the Mid-Atlantic United States Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Dec 9, 2019 Winter, J. H., Huang, H., Osterberg, E. C., and Mankin, J. S.
Evaluating the performance of past climate model projections Geophysical Research Letters Dec 4, 2019 Zeke Hausfather, Henri F. Drake, Tristan Abbott, Gavin A. Schmidt
Normalized US hurricane damage estimates using area of total destruction, 1900−2018 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Nov 11, 2019 Aslak Grinsted, Peter Ditlevsen, Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen
Enhanced El Niño‐Southern Oscillation variability in recent decades Geophysical Research Letters Oct 25, 2019 Pamela R. Grothe, Kim M. Cobb, Giovanni Liguori, Emanuele Di Lorenzo, Antonietta Capotondi, Yanbin Lu et al . . . Lauren T. Toth
Rapid attribution of the extreme rainfall in Texas from Tropical Storm Imelda World Weather Attribution Sep 27, 2019 Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Karin van der Wiel, Sjoukje Philip & Sarah Kew
Severe Continental-Scale Impacts of Climate Change Are Happening Now: Extreme Climate Events Impact Marine Habitat Forming Communities Along 45% of Australia’s Coast Frontiers in Marine Science Jul 24, 2019 Babcock, Russell C., Bustamante, Rodrigo H., Fulton, Elizabeth A., Fulton, Derek J., Haywood, Michael D. E., Hobday, Alistair James, Kenyon, Robert, Matear, Richard James, Plagányi, Eva E., Richardson, Anthony J., Vanderklift, Mathew A.
Recent increase in catastrophic tropical cyclone flooding in coastal North Carolina, USA: Long-term observations suggest a regime shift Scientific Reports Jul 23, 2019 Hans W. Paerl, Nathan S. Hall, Alexandria G. Hounshell, Richard A. Luettich, Karen L. Rossignol, Christopher L. Osburn, Jerad Bales
Observed impacts of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire in California Earth's Future Jul 15, 2019 A. Park Williams, John T. Abatzoglou, Alexander Gershunov, Janin Guzman‐Morales, Daniel A. Bishop, Jennifer K. Balch, Dennis P. Lettenmaier
Physical Understanding of Human-Induced Changes in U.S. Hot Droughts Using Equilibrium Climate Simulations Journal of Climate Jun 24, 2019 Linyin Cheng