Science Sources: Detection and Attribution

Climate Signals tracks detection and attribution studies in real time. Below is an updating database of studies that find the fingerprint of human-caused climate change on observed trends and events. The database is limited to studies of local significance in the United States and studies of global significance. For a broader database of peer-reviewed studies and organizational reports on climate change trends, please see all Science Sources.

Search or browse our collection of detection and attribution studies below, or learn more about detection and attribution studies.

Title Source Datesort ascending Author(s)
Human influence on the seasonal cycle of tropospheric temperature Science Apr 16, 2021 Benjamin Santer, Stephen Po-Chedley, Mark Zelinka, Ivana Cvijanovic, Céline Bonfiles et al.
Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change Science Mar 12, 2021 Lukas Gudmundsson, Julien Boulange, Hong X. Do, Simon N. Gosling, Manolis G. Grillakis, Aristeidis G. Koutroulis, Michael Leonard, Junguo Liu, Müller Schmied, Lamprini Papadimitriou, Yadu Pokhrel, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Yusuke Satoh, Wim Thiery et al.
Anthropogenic climate change is worsening North American pollen seasons Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Feb 16, 2021 William R. L. Anderegg, John T. Abatzoglou, Leander D. L. Anderegg, Leonard Bielory, Patrick L. Kinney, and Lewis Ziska
Contribution of historical precipitation change to US flood damages Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Jan 26, 2021 Frances V. Davenport, Marshall Burke, and Noah S. Diffenbaugh
A Global, Continental, and Regional Analysis of Changes in Extreme Precipitation AMS Journal of Climate Dec 30, 2020 Qiaohong Sun, Xuebin Zhang, Francis Zwiers, Seth Westra, and Lisa V. Alexander
Human influence on joint changes in temperature, rainfall and continental aridity Nature Climate Change Jul 6, 2020 Céline J. W. Bonfils, Benjamin D. Santer, John C. Fyfe, Kate Marvel, Thomas J. Phillips & Susan R. H. Zimmerman
Increasing trends in regional heatwaves Nature Communications Jul 3, 2020 S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. C. Lewis
Human influence has intensified extreme precipitation in North America Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Jun 16, 2020 Kirchmeier-Young and Xuebin Zhang
Increased drought severity tracks warming in the United States’ largest river basin Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences May 26, 2020 Justin Martin, Gregory Pederson, Connie Woodhouse, Edward Cook, Gregory McCabe, Kevin Anchukaitis, Erika Wise, Patrick Erger, Larry Dolan, Marketa McGuire, Subhrendu Gangopadhyay, Katherine Chase, Jeremy Littell, Stephen Gray, Scott St. George et al.
Global increase in major tropical cyclone exceedance probability over the past four decades Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences May 18, 2020 James P. Kossin, Kenneth R. Knapp, Timothy L. Olander, Christopher S. Velden
Detected climatic change in global distribution of tropical cyclones Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences May 4, 2020 Hiroyuki Murakami, Thomas L. Delworth, William F. Cooke, Ming Zhao, Baoqiang Xiang, Pang-Chi Hsu
The economic costs of Hurricane Harvey attributable to climate change Climatic Change Apr 8, 2020 David J. Frame, Michael F. Wehner, Ilan Noy, Suzanne M. Rosier
Colorado River flow dwindles as warming-driven loss of reflective snow energizes evaporation Science Feb 20, 2020 P. C. D. Milly, K. A. Dunne
Record-Setting Ocean Warmth Continued in 2019 Advances in Atmospheric Sciences Jan 9, 2020 Lijing Chengm, John Abraham, Jiang Zhu, Kevin E. Trenberth, John Fasullo,Tim Boyer, Ricardo Locarnini, Bin Zhang, Fujiang Yu, Liying Wan, Xingrong Chen, Xiangzhou Song, Yulong Liu, and Michael E. Mann
Climate change now detectable from any single day of weather at global scale Nature Climate Change Jan 2, 2020 Sebastian Sippel, Nicolai Meinshausen, Erich M. Fischer, Enikő Székely, Reto Knutti
Forecasted attribution of the human influence on Hurricane Florence Science Advances Jan 1, 2020 K. A. Reed, A. M. Stansfield, M. F. Wehner, C. M. Zarzycki
EEE 2018: Extreme Hail Storms and Climate Change: Foretelling the Future In Tiny, Turbulent Crystal Balls? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Dec 9, 2019 Kelly Mahoney
EEE 2018: Quantifying Human-Induced Temperature Impacts on the 2018 United States Four Corners Hydrologic and Agro-Pastoral Drought Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Dec 9, 2019 Williams, E., Funk, C., Shukla, S., and McEvoy, D.
EEE 2018: Anthropogenic Impacts on the Exceptional Precipitation of 2018 in the Mid-Atlantic United States Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Dec 9, 2019 Winter, J. H., Huang, H., Osterberg, E. C., and Mankin, J. S.
EEE 2018: The Record Low Bering Sea Ice Extent in 2018 – Context, Impacts, and an Assessment of the Role of Anthropogenic Climate Change Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Dec 9, 2019 Thoman R. T., Bhatt, U. S., Bieniek, P. A., Brettschneider, B. R., Brubaker, M., et al . . . Walsh, J. E.