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El Niño fueling most extreme tropical cyclone season on record in Northern Hemisphere
Kiribati

Hurricane Olaf in the central Pacific Ocean, October 20, 2015. Image: NOAA
NOAA’s Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) has concluded the activity we’re observing this year may be a harbinger of the future. “There are better than even odds that the numbers of very intense (category 4 and 5) hurricanes will increase by a substantial fraction in some basins [in the coming century],” it wrote in a synthesis of projected impacts of warming on hurricane activity, updated Sept. 30
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