How bad will this El Nino be? Worse than you may think
Much of the discussion about the fear that the current El Niño will turn out to be even worse than the devastating 1997-1998 El Niño neglects a crucial fact. Today's El Niño is unfolding over a world that is in many ways more vulnerable than the world of 1997-1998. Just as today's climate continues to generate extremes without historical precedent, we are starting to see elements of social vulnerability also without historical precedent.