Science Source
Anthropogenic forcing dominates sea level rise since 1850
- Uses a delayed response statistical model to attribute the past 1000 years of sea level variability to various natural (volcanic and solar radiative) and anthropogenic (greenhouse gases and aerosols) forcing
- Shows that until 1800 the main drivers of sea level change are volcanic and solar radiative forcings
- Finds that for the past 200 years sea level rise is mostly associated with anthropogenic factors
- Finds that only 4 ± 1.5 cm (25% of total sea level rise) during the 20th century is attributed to natural forcings, the remaining 14 ± 1.5 cm are due to a rapid increase in CO2 and other greenhouse gases
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