Jan 23, 2016

Anticipating the international spread of Zika virus from Brazil

Isaac I Bogoch, Oliver J Brady, Moritz U G Kraemer, Matthew German, Marisa I Creatore, Manisha A Kulkarni, John S Brownstein, Sumiko R Mekaru, Simon I Hay, Emily Groot, Alexander Watts, Kamran Khan
The Lancet
  • Creates a global Zika virus spread model by adapting a seasonal model for dengue that integrates global ecological niche data for Aedes aegypti and albopictus and worldwide temperature profiles
  • Identifies airports in Brazil within 50 km of areas conducive to year-round Zika virus transmission
  • Maps the final destinations of international travellers departing from these airports from September, 2014, to August, 2015, using worldwide flight itinerary data from the International Air Transport Association