Science Source
Categorical representation of North American precipitation projections
- Explores use of the familiar statistical framework of seasonal forecasting for the characterization of 21st-century precipitation projections over North America
- Finds the frequencies for the low (i.e., dry) tercile increase in the southwestern United States and southward into Mexico and decrease across the northern tier of North America, while counts for the high tercile shift in the opposite sense
- Shows that as the 21st-century proceeds, changes become statistically significant over wide regions in the pointwise sense, and also when considered as projections on model-specific climate change “fingerprints”
- States the robustness of these findings makes a compelling case for long-range planning for a dryer future in the American Southwest and southward, and wetter one to the north and especially northeast
Related Content
Science Source
| Science Advances
Unprecedented 21st century drought risk in the American Southwest and Central Plains
Benjamin I. Cook, Toby R. Ault, Jason E. Smerdon
Science Source
| Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
Evaluating climate change over the Colorado River basin using regional climate models
Gao, Yanhong, Vano et al
Science Source
| Geophysical Research Letters
Moisture flux convergence in RCMs and GCMs: Implications for droughts in the southwestern United States under climate change
Gao, Yanhong, Leung et al
Science Source
| Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
Enhanced soil moisture drying in transitional regions under a warming climate
Cheng, Shanjun, Huang et al
