Science Source
Transient changes in flood frequency and timing in Britain under potential projections of climate change
- Utilizes three new transient climate projections, from a perturbed parameter ensemble of a regional climate model (RCM) covering the period 1950–2099, to investigate transient changes in flood frequency and timing for two example catchments in England
- Finds that changes are often non-linear, and vary considerably in size and statistical significance according to catchment, flow time step and RCM ensemble member
- Concludes that the nationwide results suggest increased flood risk across much of the UK as a result of global climate change
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