Science Source
Transient response of severe thunderstorm forcing to elevated greenhouse gas concentrations
- Investigates the transient response of severe-thunderstorm forcing to the time-varying greenhouse gas concentrations associated with the A1B emissions scenario
- Uses a five-member ensemble of global climate model experiments, and finds a positive trend in such forcing within the United States, over the period 1950–2099
- Finds that the rate of increase varies by geographic region, depending on (i) low-level water vapor availability and transport, and (ii) the frequency of synoptic-scale cyclones during the warm season
- Results indicate that deceleration of the greenhouse gas emissions trajectory would likely result in slower increases in severe thunderstorm forcing
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