- States that in much of Ethiopia, rainfall from June to September contributes the majority of the annual total, and is crucial to Ethiopia’s water resource and agriculture operations
- States that drought-related disasters could be mitigated by warnings if skillful summer rainfall predictions were possible with sufficient lead time
- Examines the predictive potential for June–September rainfall in Ethiopia using mainly statistical approaches
- Assesses the skill of a dynamical approach to predicting the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which impacts Ethiopian rainfall
- Applies multivariate statistical techniques to diagnose and predict seasonal rainfall patterns using historical monthly mean global sea surface temperatures and other physically relevant predictor data
- Results show the June–September rainy season is governed primarily by ENSO, and secondarily reinforced by more local climate indicators near Africa and the Atlantic and Indian Oceans
- Finds that rainfall anomaly patterns can be predicted with some skill within a short lead time of the summer season, based on emerging ENSO developments
Mar 12, 2018 | The New York Times
Hotter, Drier, Hungrier: How Global Warming Punishes the World’s Poorest
Jan 1, 2018 | Weather Underground | Category 6
Top Ten Global Weather/Climate Events of 2017: A Year of Landfalls and Firestorms
Nov 17, 2017 | Reuters
Conflict and climate push 224 million Africans into hunger: U.N.
Nov 13, 2017 | U.S.
Weather forecasts help Ethiopian herders, farmers fight climate extremes