Science Sources: Detection and Attribution
Climate Signals tracks detection and attribution studies in real time. Below is an updating database of studies that find the fingerprint of human-caused climate change on observed trends and events. The database is limited to studies of local significance in the United States and studies of global significance. For a broader database of peer-reviewed studies and organizational reports on climate change trends, please see all Science Sources.
Search or browse our collection of detection and attribution studies below, or learn more about detection and attribution studies.
| Title | Source | Date | Author(s) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model Assessment of Observed Precipitation Trends Over Land Regions: Detectable Human Influences and Possible Low Bias in Model Trends | AMS Journal of Climate | Thomas R. Knutson and Fanrong Zeng | |
| Trends in Weather Extremes | World Weather Attribution | Geert Jan van Oldenborgh | |
| Unprecedented climate events: Historical changes, aspirational targets, and national commitments | Science Advances | Noah S. Diffenbaugh, Deepti Singh, and Justin S. Mankin | |
| Widespread persistent changes to temperature extremes occurred earlier than predicted | Scientific Reports | Chao Li, Yuanyuan Fang, Ken Caldeira, Xuebin Zhang, Noah S. Diffenbaugh and Anna M. Michalak | |
| Attribution of extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017 | World Weather Attribution, Environmental Research Letters | Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Karin van der Wiel, Antonia Sebastian, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Friederike Otto, Karsten Haustein, Sihan Li, Gabriel Vecchi and Heidi Cullen | |
| Evidence that Recent Warming is Reducing Upper Colorado River Flows | AMS Earth Interactions | Gregory J. McCabe | |
| Drivers of 2016 record Arctic warmth assessed using climate simulations subjected to Factual and Counterfactual forcing | Weather and Climate Extremes | Lantao Sun, Dave Allured, Martin Hoerling, Lesley Smith, Judith Perlwitz, Don Murray, Jon Eischeid | |
| Is There a Role for Human-Induced Climate Change in the Precipitation Decline that Drove the California Drought? | AMS Journal of Climate | Richard Seager, Naomi Henderson, Mark A. Cane, Haibo Liu, and Jennifer Nakamura | |
| Assessing the present and future probability of Hurricane Harvey’s rainfall | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences | Kerry Emanuel | |
| Impact of climate change on New York City’s coastal flood hazard: Increasing flood heights from the preindustrial to 2300 CE | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences | Andra J. Garner, Michael E. Mann, Kerry A. Emanuel, Robert E. Kopp, Ning Ling, Richard B. Alley, Benjamin P. Horton, Robert M. DeContok, Jeffrey P. Donnelly, and David Pollard | |
| Attributing changing rates of temperature record‐breaking to anthropogenic influences | Earth's Future | King, Andrew D. | |
| The 2016 Southeastern U.S. Drought: An Extreme Departure From Centennial Wetting and Cooling | Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres | A. Park Williams, Benjamin I. Cook, Jason E. Smerdon, Daniel A. Bishop, Richard Seager, Justin S. Mankin | |
| Record Temperature Streak Bears Anthropogenic Fingerprint | Geophysical Research Letters | Mann, Michael E., Miller, Sonya K., Rahmstorf, Stefan, Steinman, Byron A., Tingley, Martin | |
| Diagnosing conditional anthropogenic contributions to heavy Colorado rainfall in September 2013 | Weather and Climate Extremes | Pardeep Pall, Christina M. Patricola, Michael F. Wehner, Dáithí A. Stone, Christopher J. Paciorek, William D. Collins | |
| California from drought to deluge | Nature Climate Change | S.-Y. Simon Wang, Jin-Ho Yoon, Emily Becker and Robert Gillies | |
| Attributing Causes of 2015 Record Minimum Sea-Ice Extent in the Sea of Okhotsk | AMS Journal of Climate | Seungmok Paik, Seung-Ki Min, and Yeon-Hee Kim | |
| Quantifying the influence of global warming on unprecedented extreme climate events | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences | Noah S. Diffenbaugh, Deepti Singh, Justin S. Mankin, Daniel E. Horton, Daniel L. Swain, Danielle Touma, Allison Charland, Yunjie Liu, Matz Haugen, Michael Tsiang, Bala Rajaratnam | |
| Influence of Anthropogenic Climate Change on Planetary Wave Resonance and Extreme Weather Events | Scientific Reports | Michael E. Mann, Stefan Rahmstorf, Kai Kornhuber, Byron A. Steinman, Sonya K. Miller, Dim Coumou | |
| Anthropogenic warming impacts on California snowpack during drought | Geophysical Research Letters | Berg, Neil and Hall, Alex | |
| U.S. Heat, February 2017 | World Weather Attribution | Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Andrew King, Friederike Otto, Gabriel Vecchi, Claudia Tebaldi, and Heidi Cullen |
