4 Questions on the California Fires and Climate Change
The deadly fires that swept through California's wine country this fall made one of the state's most destructive fire seasons on record even worse, and the fierce Santa Ana winds now whipping up fast-moving blazes in the hills near Los Angeles are adding the year's damage. As global temperatures continue to rise, scientists say the risk of extreme fire seasons is rising across the West.
Wildfires are hugely complex events, complicated by human activity, including rampant development and decades of fire suppression strategies that left too much dry timber and underbrush for fires to burn.
Add the effects of climate change to the mix, and California's already fire-prone landscape grows increasingly combustible.
What's the link between fires & climate change?
An increasing body of research finds that the hot and dry conditions that created the California drought were brought on in part by human-causedwarming.
Higher temperatures pull moisture out of soil and vegetation, leaving parched landscapes that can go up in flames with the slightest spark from a downed utility wire, backfiring car or embers from a campfire.
California's average temperature has risen about 2 degrees Fahrenheit during the second half of the 20th century. Altogether this has led to more "fuel aridity"—drier tree canopies, grasses and brush that can burn.
"There's a clear climate signal in these fires because of the drought conditions connected to climate change," said Daniel Swain, a climate scientist at UCLA.
"As long as there's fuel to burn, your chances of having large fires increases when you increase temperatures. It's that simple," said Park Williams, a bioclimatologist at the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory at Columbia University.
Why didn't the wet winter and spring help?