Science Sources: Detection and Attribution

Climate Signals tracks detection and attribution studies in real time. Below is an updating database of studies that find the fingerprint of human-caused climate change on observed trends and events. The database is limited to studies of local significance in the United States and studies of global significance. For a broader database of peer-reviewed studies and organizational reports on climate change trends, please see all Science Sources.

Search or browse our collection of detection and attribution studies below, or learn more about detection and attribution studies.

Title Source Date Author(s)
Attribution of extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017 World Weather Attribution, Environmental Research Letters Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Karin van der Wiel, Antonia Sebastian, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Friederike Otto, Karsten Haustein, Sihan Li, Gabriel Vecchi and Heidi Cullen
Attribution of extreme temperature changes during 1951–2010 Climate Dynamics Yeon-Hee Kim, Seung-Ki Min, Xuebin Zhang, Francis Zwiers, Lisa V. Alexander, Markus G. Donat, Yu-Shiang Tung
Attribution of global glacier mass loss to anthropogenic and natural causes Science Ben Marzeion, J. Graham Cogley, Kristin Richter, David Parkes
Attribution of observed historical near‒surface temperature variations to anthropogenic and natural causes using CMIP5 simulations Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Gareth S. Jones, Peter A. Stott, Nikolaos Christidis
Attribution of observed sea level pressure trends to greenhouse gas, aerosol, and ozone changes Geophysical Research Letters Nathan P. Gillett, John C. Fyfe, David E. Parker
Attribution of observed surface humidity changes to human influence Nature Katharine M. Willett, Nathan P. Gillett, Philip D. Jones, Peter W. Thorne
Attribution of regional‐scale temperature changes to anthropogenic and natural causes Geophysical Research Letters Peter A. Stott
Attribution of the June-July 2013 Heat Wave in the Southwestern United States Meteorological Society of Japan Hideo Shiogama, Masahiro Watanabe, Yukiko Imada, Masato Mori, Youichi Kamae, Masayoshi Ishii, Masahide Kimoto
Attribution of the local Hadley cell widening in the Southern Hemisphere Geophysical Research Letters Yeon‐Hee Kim, Seung‐Ki Min, Seok‐Woo Son, Jung Choi
Attribution of the spring snow cover extent decline in the Northern Hemisphere, Eurasia and North America to anthropogenic influence Climatic Change Mohammad Reza Najafi, Francis W. Zwiers, Nathan P. Gillett
Attribution of twentieth century temperature change to natural and anthropogenic causes Climate Dynamics P. A. Stott, S. F. B. Tett, G. S. Jones, M. R. Allen, W. J. Ingram, J. F. B. Mitchell
California from drought to deluge Nature Climate Change S.-Y. Simon Wang, Jin-Ho Yoon, Emily Becker and Robert Gillies
Catastrophe Modelling and Climate Change Lloyds Ralf Toumi and Lauren Restell
Causes of atmospheric temperature change 1960–2000: A combined attribution analysis Geophysical Research Letters Gareth S. Jones, Simon F. B. Tett, Peter A. Stott
Causes of Robust Seasonal Land Precipitation Changes AMS Journal of Climate Debbie Polson and Gabriele C. Hegerl
Causes of the 2011–14 California Drought AMS Journal of Climate Richard Seager, Martin Hoerling, Siegfried Schubert, Hailan Wang, Bradfield Lyon, Arun Kumar, Jennifer Nakamura, and Naomi Henderson
Causes of twentieth-century temperature change near the Earth's surface Nature Simon F. B. Tett, Peter A. Stott, Myles R. Allen, William J. Ingram, John F. B. Mitchell
Change in the Odds of Warm Years and Seasons Due to Anthropogenic Influence on the Climate AMS Journal of Climate Nikolaos Christidis and Peter A. Stott
Changes in the geopotential height at 500 hPa under the influence of external climatic forcings Geophysical Research Letters Nikolaos Christidis, Peter A. Stott
Climate change and California drought in the 21st century Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Michael E. Mann, Peter H. Gleick