Richard Grotjahn, Jonathan Huynh

Scientific Reports

Published date July 25, 2018

Contiguous US summer maximum temperature and heat stress trends in CRU and NOAA Climate Division data plus comparisons to reanalyses

  • States that warming is a major climate change concern, but the impact of high maximum temperatures depends upon the air’s moisture content.
  • Tracks trends in maximum summertime temperature, moisture, and heat index over three time periods: 1900–2011, 1950–2011, and 1979–2011
  • Finds that these trends differ notably from annual temperature trends
  • Finds that maximum temperature trends tend towards warming that is stronger over the Great Lakes, the interior western and the northeastern contiguous United States
  • Finds that a warming hole in the Midwest generally decreases in size and magnitude when heat stress trends are calculated because the region has increasing moisture
  • Finds that moistening in the northeast amplifies the heat stress there, and that moisture trends are less clear elsewhere the moisture trends are less clear
  • Finds that drying over northern Texas (after 1996) translates into decreasing heat stress there