Science Source
Projected 21st century changes in tornado exposure, risk, and disaster potential
- Assesses the interaction of risk and vulnerability by investigating the tornado
- Estimates how future changes in risk and vulnerability influence tornado disaster probability
- Integrates—for the first time—projected residential built environment data and modeled future severe weather environments
- Results suggest that, although the projected twenty-first century escalation in tornado risk will play a role in increasing disaster consequences and frequency, growth in the human-built environment is projected to outweigh the effects of increased risk on future tornado disaster potential
- States that the combination of both an increase in risk and exposure may lead to a threefold increase in median annual tornado impact magnitude and disaster potential from 2010 to 2100
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