Science Sources

Search the database below for peer-reviewed studies and organizational reports documenting climate change trends. (Note: The database does not include studies on projected, or future change.) For studies that specifically identify the fingerprint of climate change on observed trends and events, visit Science Sources: Detection and Attribution.

Featured

Title Source Date Author(s)
Climate change now detectable from any single day of weather at global scale Nature Climate Change Sebastian Sippel, Nicolai Meinshausen, Erich M. Fischer, Enikő Székely, Reto Knutti
Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Assessment: Part I Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Thomas Knutson, Suzana J. Camargo, Johnny C. L. Chan, Kerry Emanuel, Chang-Hoi Ho, James Kossin, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, Masaki Satoh, Masato Sugi, Kevin Walsh, and Liguang Wu
NCA 4: Climate Change Impacts in the United States (Volume I) U.S. Global Change Research Program Donald Wuebbles, David Fahey, and Kathleen Hibbard
IPCC AR5 WGI: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis Cambridge University Press Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)
Attribution of climate extreme events Nature Climate Change Kevin E. Trenberth, John T. Fasullo & Theodore G. Shepherd
Title Source Date Author(s)
Unprecedented 21st century drought risk in the American Southwest and Central Plains Science Advances Benjamin I. Cook, Toby R. Ault, Jason E. Smerdon
Evaluating climate change over the Colorado River basin using regional climate models Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Gao, Yanhong, Vano, Julie A., Zhu, Chunmei, Lettenmaier, Dennis P.
Moisture flux convergence in RCMs and GCMs: Implications for droughts in the southwestern United States under climate change Geophysical Research Letters Gao, Yanhong, Leung, L. Ruby, Salathé, Eric P., Dominguez, Francina, Nijssen, Bart, Lettenmaier, Dennis P.
Important role for ocean warming and increased ice-shelf melt in Antarctic sea-ice expansion Nature Geoscience R. Bintanja, G. J. van Oldenborgh, S. S. Drijfhout, B. Wouters, C. A. Katsman
Sustained mass loss of the northeast Greenland ice sheet triggered by regional warming Nature Climate Change Shfaqat A. Khan, Kurt H. Kjær, Michael Bevis, Jonathan L. Bamber, John Wahr, Kristian K. Kjeldsen, Anders A. Bjørk, Niels J. Korsgaard, Leigh A. Stearns, Michiel R. van den Broeke, Lin Liu, Nicolaj K. Larsen, Ioana S. Muresan
Global increase in record-breaking monthly-mean temperatures Climatic Change Dim Coumou, Alexander Robinson, Stefan Rahmstorf
Future population exposure to US heat extremes Nature Climate Change Bryan Jones, Brian C. O’Neill, Larry McDaniel, Seth McGinnis, Linda O. Mearns, Claudia Tebaldi
A decade of weather extremes Nature Climate Change Dim Coumou, Stefan Rahmstorf
The relative increase of record high maximum temperatures compared to record low minimum temperatures in the U.S. Geophysical Research Letters Gerald A. Meehl, Claudia Tebaldi, Guy Walton, David Easterling, Larry McDaniel
Global land moisture trends: drier in dry and wetter in wet over land Scientific Reports Huihui Fenga and Mingyang Zhang
Running dry: The U.S. Southwest's drift into a drier climate state Geophysical Research Letters Prein, Andreas F., Holland, Gregory J., Rasmussen, Roy M., Clark, Martyn P., Tye, Mari R.
Contribution of anthropogenic warming to California drought during 2012–2014 Geophysical Research Letters Williams, A. Park, Seager, Richard, Abatzoglou, John T., Cook, Benjamin I., Smerdon, Jason E., Cook, Edward R.
Observational constraints on mixed-phase clouds imply higher climate sensitivity Science Ivy Tan, Trude Storelvmo, Mark D. Zelinka
The Cause of Decreased Pan Evaporation over the Past 50 Years Science Michael L. Roderick, Graham D. Farquhar
Global review and synthesis of trends in observed terrestrial near-surface wind speeds: Implications for evaporation Journal of Hydrology Tim McVicara, Michael Roderickb, Randall Donohuea, Ling Tao Lia, Thomas Van Nielc, Axel Thomasd, Jürgen Griesere, Deepak Jhajhariaf, Youcef Himrig, Natalie Mahowaldh, Anna Mescherskayai, Andries Krugerj, Shafiqur Rehmank, Yagob Dinpashohl
Causes for decadal variations of wind speed over land: Sensitivity studies with a global climate model Geophysical Research Letters Bichet, A., Wild, M., Folini, D., Schär, C.
Potential evapotranspiration and the likelihood of future drought Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Rind, D., Goldberg, R., Hansen, J., Rosenzweig, C., Ruedy, R.
Sources of Variability of Evapotranspiration in California Journal of Hydrometeorology Hugo G. Hidalgo, Daniel R. Cayan, Michael D. Dettinger
Evapotranspiration along an elevation gradient in California's Sierra Nevada Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences Goulden, M. L., Anderson, R. G., Bales, R. C., Kelly, A. E., Meadows, M., Winston, G. C.
Recent decline in the global land evapotranspiration trend due to limited moisture supply Nature Martin Jung, Markus Reichstein, Philippe Ciais, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Justin Sheffield, Michael L. Goulden, Gordon Bonan, Alessandro Cescatti, Jiquan Chen, Richard de Jeu, A. Johannes Dolman, Werner Eugster, Dieter Gerten, Damiano Gianelle et al