Science Sources: Detection and Attribution
Climate Signals tracks detection and attribution studies in real time. Below is an updating database of studies that find the fingerprint of human-caused climate change on observed trends and events. The database is limited to studies of local significance in the United States and studies of global significance. For a broader database of peer-reviewed studies and organizational reports on climate change trends, please see all Science Sources.
Search or browse our collection of detection and attribution studies below, or learn more about detection and attribution studies.
Title | Source | Date | Author(s) |
---|---|---|---|
Causes of the 2011–14 California Drought | AMS Journal of Climate | Richard Seager, Martin Hoerling, Siegfried Schubert, Hailan Wang, Bradfield Lyon, Arun Kumar, Jennifer Nakamura, and Naomi Henderson | |
Human Contribution to the Lengthening of the Growing Season during 1950–99 | AMS Journal of Climate | Nikolaos Christidis, Peter A. Stott, and Simon Brown | |
Detection and Attribution of Observed Changes in Northern Hemisphere Spring Snow Cover | AMS Journal of Climate | David E. Rupp and Philip W. Mote | |
Model Assessment of Observed Precipitation Trends Over Land Regions: Detectable Human Influences and Possible Low Bias in Model Trends | AMS Journal of Climate | Thomas R. Knutson and Fanrong Zeng | |
Detecting Greenhouse-Gas-Induced Climate Change with an Optimal Fingerprint Method | AMS Journal of Climate | Hegerl, G.C., H.v. Storch, K. Hasselmann, B.D. Santer, U. Cubasch, and P.D. Jones | |
Anthropogenic Warming of the Oceans: Observations and Model Results | AMS Journal of Climate | David W. Pierce and Tim P. Barnett | |
Detectable Changes in the Frequency of Temperature Extremes | AMS Journal of Climate | Simone Morak, Gabriele C. Hegerl, and Nikolaos Christidis | |
Change in the Odds of Warm Years and Seasons Due to Anthropogenic Influence on the Climate | AMS Journal of Climate | Nikolaos Christidis and Peter A. Stott | |
Forced and Internal Twentieth-Century SST Trends in the North Atlantic | AMS Journal of Climate | Mingfang Ting, Yochanan Kushnir, Richard Seager, and Cuihua Li | |
Distinguishing Pronounced Droughts in the Southwestern United States: Seasonality and Effects of Warmer Temperatures | AMS Journal of Climate | Jeremy L. Weiss | |
Deducing Multidecadal Anthropogenic Global Warming Trends Using Multiple Regression Analysis | AMS Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences | Jiansong Zhou and Ka-Kit Tung | |
Single‐step attribution of increasing frequencies of very warm regional temperatures to human influence | Atmospheric Science Letters | Peter A. Stott, Gareth S. Jones, Nikolaos Christidis, Francis W. Zwiers, Gabriele Hegerl, Hideo Shiogama | |
Detecting an external influence on recent changes in oceanic oxygen using an optimal fingerprinting method | Biogeosciences | Andrews, O. D., Bindoff, N. L., Halloran, P. R., Ilyina, T., Quéré, C. Le | |
Using present-day observations to detect when anthropogenic change forces surface ocean carbonate chemistry outside preindustrial bounds | Biogeosciences | Sutton, Adrienne J., Sabine, Christopher L., Feely, Richard A., Cai, Wei-Jun, Cronin, Meghan F., McPhaden, Michael J., Morell, Julio M., Newton, Jan A., Noh, Jae-Hoon, Ólafsdóttir, Sólveig R., Salisbury, Joseph E., Send, Uwe et al | |
EEE 2016: CMIP5 Model-based Assessment of Anthropogenic Influence on Highly Anomalous Arctic Warmth During November–December 2016 | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society | Jonghun Kam, Thomas R. Knutson, Fanrong Zeng, and Andrew T. Wittenberg | |
EEE 2016: The High Latitude Marine Heat Wave of 2016 and Its Impacts on Alaska | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society | John E. Walsh, Richard L. Thoman, Uma S. Bhatt, Peter A. Bieniek, Brian Brettschneider, Michael Brubaker, Seth Danielson, Rick Lader, Florence Fetterer, Kris Holderied, Katrin Iken, Andy Mahoney, Molly McCammon, and James Partain | |
EEE 2013: The extraordinary California drought of 2013/2014: character, context, and the role of climate change | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society | Daniel L. Swain, Michael Tsiang, Matz Haugen, Deepti Singh, Allison Charland, Bala Rajaratnam, and Noah S. Diffenbaug | |
EEE 2016: Anthropogenic and Natural Influences on Record 2016 Marine Heat waves | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society | Eric C. J. Oliver, Sarah E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Neil J. Holbrook, and Nathaniel L. Bindoff | |
EEE 2018: The Record Low Bering Sea Ice Extent in 2018 – Context, Impacts, and an Assessment of the Role of Anthropogenic Climate Change | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society | Thoman R. T., Bhatt, U. S., Bieniek, P. A., Brettschneider, B. R., Brubaker, M., et al . . . Walsh, J. E. | |
EEE 2016: Anthropogenic Forcings and Associated Changes in Fire Risk in Western North America and Australia During 2015/16 | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society | Simon F. B. Tett, Alexander Falk, Megan Rogers, Fiona Spuler, Calum Turner, Joshua Wainwright, Oscar Dimdore-Miles, Sam Knight, Nicolas Freychet, Michael J. Mineter, and Caroline E. R. Lehmann |