Science Sources: Detection and Attribution

Climate Signals tracks detection and attribution studies in real time. Below is an updating database of studies that find the fingerprint of human-caused climate change on observed trends and events. The database is limited to studies of local significance in the United States and studies of global significance. For a broader database of peer-reviewed studies and organizational reports on climate change trends, please see all Science Sources.

Search or browse our collection of detection and attribution studies below, or learn more about detection and attribution studies.

Title Source Datesort ascending Author(s)
Climate of the weakly-forced yet high-impact convective storms throughout the Ohio River Valley and Mid-Atlantic United States Climate Dynamics Sep 28, 2018 Binod Pokharel, S.-Y. Simon Wang, Jonathan Meyer, Robert Gillies, Yen-Heng Lin
The human influence on Hurricane Florence Stony Brook University’s School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences Sep 12, 2018 Kevin Reed, Alyssa Stansfield, Michael Wehner, and Colin Zarzycki
Marine heatwaves under global warming Nature Aug 15, 2018 Thomas L. Frölicher, Erich M. Fischer, Nicolas Gruber
Attribution of Arctic Sea Ice Decline from 1953 to 2012 to Influences from Natural, Greenhouse Gas, and Anthropogenic Aerosol Forcing Journal of Climate Aug 13, 2018 B.L. Mueller
A stratospheric pathway linking a colder Siberia to Barents-Kara Sea sea ice loss Science Advances Jul 25, 2018 Pengfei Zhang, Yutian Wu, Isla R. Simpson, Karen L. Smith, Xiangdong Zhang, Bithi De, Patrick Callaghan
Arctic warming hotspot in the northern Barents Sea linked to declining sea-ice import Nature Climate Change Jun 25, 2018 Sigrid Lind, Randi B. Ingvaldsen, Tore Furevik
Anthropogenic Warming Impacts on Today's Sierra Nevada Snowpack and Flood Risk Geophysical Research Letters Jun 15, 2018 Xingying Huang, Alex D. Hall, Neil Berg
Quantifying statistical uncertainty in the attribution of human influence on severe weather Weather and Climate Extremes Jun 15, 2018 Paciorek, Stone, and Wehner
Early 21st century anthropogenic changes in extremely hot days as simulated by the C20C+ detection and attribution multi-model ensemble Weather and Climate Extremes Jun 8, 2018 Michael Wehner, Dáithí Stone, Hideo Shiogama, Piotr Wolskic, Andrew Ciavarella, Nikolaos Christidis, Harinarayan Krishnana
A global slowdown of tropical-cyclone translation speed Nature Jun 6, 2018 James P. Kossin
Effect of Reduced Summer Cloud Shading on Evaporative Demand and Wildfire in Coastal Southern California Geophysical Research Letters May 24, 2018 A. Park Williams, Pierre Gentine, Max A. Moritz, Dar A. Roberts, John T. Abatzoglou
Hurricane Harvey links to Ocean Heat Content and Climate Change Adaptation Earth's Future May 9, 2018 Kevin E. Trenberth, Lijing Cheng, Peter Jacobs, Yongxin Zhang, John Fasullo
Increasing precipitation volatility in twenty-first-century California Nature Climate Change Apr 23, 2018 Daniel L. Swain, Baird Langenbrunner, J. David Neelin, Alex Hall
Attribution of climate effects on Hurricane Harvey's extreme rainfall in Texas Submitted: Environmental Research Letters Apr 4, 2018 S.-Y. Simon Wang, Lin Zhao, Jin-Ho Yoon, Phil Klotzbach, and Robert R. Gillies
EEE 2016: The Extreme 2015/16 El Niño, in the Context of Historical Climate Variability and Change Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Mar 26, 2018 Matthew Newman, Andrew T. Wittenberg, Linyin Cheng, Gilbert P. Compo, and Catherine A. Smith
EEE 2016: Forcing of Multiyear Extreme Ocean Temperatures that Impacted California Current Living Marine Resources in 2016 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Mar 26, 2018 Michael G. Jacox, Michael A. Alexander, Nathan J. Mantua, James D. Scott, Gaelle Hervieux, Robert S. Webb, and Francisco E. Werner
EEE 2016: CMIP5 Model-based Assessment of Anthropogenic Influence on Highly Anomalous Arctic Warmth During November–December 2016 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Mar 26, 2018 Jonghun Kam, Thomas R. Knutson, Fanrong Zeng, and Andrew T. Wittenberg
EEE 2016: The High Latitude Marine Heat Wave of 2016 and Its Impacts on Alaska Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Mar 26, 2018 John E. Walsh, Richard L. Thoman, Uma S. Bhatt, Peter A. Bieniek, Brian Brettschneider, Michael Brubaker, Seth Danielson, Rick Lader, Florence Fetterer, Kris Holderied, Katrin Iken, Andy Mahoney, Molly McCammon, and James Partain
EEE 2016: Anthropogenic and Natural Influences on Record 2016 Marine Heat waves Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Mar 26, 2018 Eric C. J. Oliver, Sarah E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Neil J. Holbrook, and Nathaniel L. Bindoff
EEE 2016: Anthropogenic Forcings and Associated Changes in Fire Risk in Western North America and Australia During 2015/16 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Mar 26, 2018 Simon F. B. Tett, Alexander Falk, Megan Rogers, Fiona Spuler, Calum Turner, Joshua Wainwright, Oscar Dimdore-Miles, Sam Knight, Nicolas Freychet, Michael J. Mineter, and Caroline E. R. Lehmann