Published date

A quantitative analysis of marine heatwaves in response to rising sea surface temperature

Study key findings & significance

  • The progression of marine heat waves (MHWs) with rising SST are quantitatively analyzed using EEMD.
  • Future MHWs under SST warming is projected based on their observational correlations.
  • Approximately 15% of the ocean reach a permanent MHW state by 2100 under high emission scenario.

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Published date

Elevation-dependent intensification of fire danger in the western United States

Study key findings & significance

  • The authors assess elevation-dependent trends in fire danger indices between 1979 and 2020.
  • Fire danger increased across the mountainous western US over 1979-2020, with the most acute change seen at high elevations.
  • The greatest increase in the number of days conducive to large fires occurred at 8,200 - 9,800 feet (2,500-3,000 meters), adding 63 critical fire danger days between 1979 and 2020.
  • 22 of these new critical fire days occur outside of the May-September warm season.


Published date

The Future of Supercells in the United States

Study key findings & significance

  • The study shows how the climatology of supercells may change in the contiguous United States, during the twenty-first century. 
  • Models predict a nationwide 6.6% increase in supercells and a 25.8% jump in the area and time the strongest supercells twist and tear over land under a scenario of moderate levels of future warming by the end of the century
  • Past studies have been unable to forecast supercells and tornadoes in future climate simulations because they are small-scale events, especially tornadoes, that gl
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